North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium
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North Melbourne vs West Coast, Round 14 2026
North Melbourne Kangaroos 2-3 in last 5. At Optus Stadium, the model sees North Melbourne winning. Model total 199.5 vs market 165.5. Over 165.5 is our top play.
The market has the total at 165.5. Our model puts it at 199.5, a 34.0-point gap. That is a 38.0% edge on the Over 165.5. Both squads' defensive stats back the lower total.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 14
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Team news not yet available.
West Coast Eagles
Team news not yet available.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
North Melbourne
West Coast hold a Tackles advantage: 59.6 vs 51.6 per game.
Last 5 Results
North Melbourne
West Coast
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R2 | West Coast Eagles | 111 - 94 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | West Coast | W | O |
| 2025 | R13 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 62 - 52 | West Coast Eagles | North Melbourne | W | U |
| 2024 | R22 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 97 - 102 | West Coast Eagles | West Coast | L | O |
| 2024 | R13 | West Coast Eagles | 65 - 74 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | North Melbourne | L | U |
| 2023 | R20 | West Coast Eagles | 72 - 67 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | West Coast | W | U |
North Melbourne Kangaroos 2-3 in last 5. The most recent clash saw West Coast win 111 - 94 at West Coast in R2 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Last five: L W L L L. North Melbourne are in mixed recent form. Averaging 78.0 scored and 126.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 353.8. Their home record 4-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
West Coast Eagles Form Analysis
Last five: L W L W L. West Coast are in mixed recent form. Averaging 78.6 scored and 78.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 53. Their away record 1-5 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Duggan | West Coast Eagles | O18.5 | 22.5 | 20.4 | OVER +4.0 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | North Melbourne Kangaroos | O23.5 | 26.1 | 26.0 | OVER +2.6 |
| Ryan Maric | West Coast Eagles | O16.5 | 19.1 | 18.0 | OVER +2.6 |
| Dylan Stephens | North Melbourne Kangaroos | U17.5 | 15.5 | 17.2 | UNDER -2.0 |
| Tim Kelly | West Coast Eagles | U22.5 | 20.8 | 24.4 | UNDER -1.7 |
| Jy Simpkin | North Melbourne Kangaroos | O20.5 | 21.0 | 21.6 | OVER +0.5 |
Over Signal: Harry Sheezel (North Melbourne Kangaroos) - h2h_outlier
Over Signal: Colby McKercher (North Melbourne Kangaroos) - h2h_outlier
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Over 165.5 | 165.5 | $1.88 | 38.0% edge | Strong | Model total 199.5 vs market 165.5. Gap: 34.0 points. |
| Prop | Harry Sheezel Over 28.5 | 28.5 | N/A | 14.4% edge | Strong | Model has Harry Sheezel at 42.9 vs line 28.5. (price not available from market) |
| Spread | North Melbourne Kangaroos -6.5 | -6.5 | $1.90 | 11.7% edge | Strong | Model has North Melbourne Kangaroos winning by 16.9. Market line: 6.5. Edge: 11.7%. |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on North Melbourne vs West Coast
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Other Round 14 Tips
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