North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Fremantle Dockers
Hands Oval
We may earn commission on sign-ups via this link. Affiliate disclosure
North Melbourne vs Fremantle, Round 13 2026
Fremantle arrive on a 11-game winning run. Model total 189.9 vs market 178.5. Over 178.5 is our top play.
The market has the total at 178.5. Our model puts it at 189.9, a 11.4-point gap. That is a 15.0% edge on the Over 178.5. Both squads' defensive stats back the lower total.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 13
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Several fringe players pressing after week off. Zac Banch, Zac Fisher, Cooper Harvey in.
Fremantle Dockers
Depth remains strong with several players testing. Hayden Young, Brennan Cox, Matthew Johnson, Sean Darcy confirmed in. Concerns: Serong calf, Walker concussion, Cox knee test, Young concussion test.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
North Melbourne
North Melbourne hold a Disposals advantage: 367 vs 364.8 per game.
Last 5 Results
North Melbourne
Fremantle
Recent Meetings
Last 3 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R14 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 67 - 73 | Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle | W | U |
| 2024 | R2 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 76 - 102 | Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle | L | O |
| 2023 | R2 | Fremantle Dockers | 72 - 73 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | North Melbourne | L | U |
North Melbourne Kangaroos 1-2 in last 3. The most recent clash saw Fremantle win 67 - 73 at North Melbourne in R14 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Last five: W L L L L. North Melbourne are in mixed recent form. Averaging 91.4 scored and 116.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 367. Their home record 4-2 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis
Last five: W W W W W. Fremantle are riding a 11-game winning streak. Averaging 102.6 scored and 77.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 55.8. Their away record 6-1 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ryan | Fremantle Dockers | U20.5 | 15.6 | 20.6 | UNDER -4.9 |
| Caleb Serong | Fremantle Dockers | U24.5 | 21.9 | 23.0 | UNDER -2.6 |
| Dylan Stephens | North Melbourne Kangaroos | U17.5 | 15.5 | 17.8 | UNDER -2.0 |
| Caleb Daniel | North Melbourne Kangaroos | O22.5 | 24.1 | 23.6 | OVER +1.6 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | Fremantle Dockers | U23.5 | 22.7 | 24.2 | UNDER -0.8 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | North Melbourne Kangaroos | O25.5 | 26.1 | 26.0 | OVER +0.6 |
Over Signal: Harry Sheezel (North Melbourne Kangaroos) - h2h_outlier
Over Signal: Colby McKercher (North Melbourne Kangaroos) - h2h_outlier
Over Signal: Jordan Clark (Fremantle Dockers) - h2h_outlier
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Over 178.5 | 178.5 | $1.88 | 15.0% edge | Strong | Model total 189.9 vs market 178.5. Gap: 11.4 points. |
| Prop | Harry Sheezel Over 29.5 | 29.5 | N/A | 13.4% edge | Strong | Model has Harry Sheezel at 42.9 vs line 29.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on North Melbourne vs Fremantle
Compare the top AFL betting sites. New member free bet offers available - T&Cs apply.
New members only. Free bet offers subject to T&Cs. You must be 18+ to open a betting account. Pay by debit card where available. In-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia - all bets must be placed pre-game or via telephone.
Other Round 13 Tips
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
AFL Betting Guides
Responsible Gambling
Gambling should be for entertainment only. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Set a budget and stick to it. If gambling is causing you problems, contact the National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. You must be 18 or over to place bets in Australia. In-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia.