Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power
MCG
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Collingwood vs Port Adelaide, Round 15 2026
Collingwood Magpies 4-0 in last 4. At the MCG, the model sees Collingwood winning. Model: Collingwood 86.8 - Port Adelaide 71.2. Jordan De Goey Under 23.5 is our selection.
The market has the total at 160.5. Our model puts it at 158.0, a 2.4-point gap. That is a 3.3% edge on the Under 160.5.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 15
Collingwood Magpies
Brayden Maynard out. Injury concerns: Maynard shoulder, Moore hamstring, Elliott season. Joel Cochran, Steele Sidebottom expected to play. Check AFL.com.au for the latest update.
Port Adelaide Power
Few injury concerns despite limited availability. Jack Lukosius, Josh Lai confirmed in. Concerns: Lai concussion test, Bergman toe.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Collingwood
Collingwood hold a Disposals advantage: 391.4 vs 341.4 per game.
Last 5 Results
Collingwood
Port Adelaide
Recent Meetings
Last 4 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R1 | Collingwood Magpies | 136 - 45 | Port Adelaide Power | Collingwood | W | O |
| 2024 | R6 | Collingwood Magpies | 123 - 81 | Port Adelaide Power | Collingwood | W | O |
| 2023 | R19 | Port Adelaide Power | 83 - 85 | Collingwood Magpies | Collingwood | L | O |
| 2023 | R2 | Collingwood Magpies | 135 - 64 | Port Adelaide Power | Collingwood | W | O |
Collingwood Magpies 4-0 in last 4. The most recent clash saw Collingwood win 136 - 45 at Collingwood in R1 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
Last five: L L W L L. Collingwood are on two straight losses. Averaging 80.6 scored and 93.0 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 391.4. Their home record 2-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis
Last five: L W L L L. Port Adelaide are in mixed recent form. Averaging 74.0 scored and 85.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 48.4. Their away record 2-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan De Goey | Collingwood Magpies | U23.5 | 17.8 | 27.0 | UNDER -5.7 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | Port Adelaide Power | U21.5 | 15.9 | 20.2 | UNDER -5.6 |
| Dan Houston | Collingwood Magpies | U21.5 | 16.9 | 18.0 | UNDER -4.6 |
| Josh Daicos | Collingwood Magpies | U25.5 | 21.1 | 23.2 | UNDER -4.4 |
| Zak Butters | Port Adelaide Power | U29.5 | 25.1 | 29.4 | UNDER -4.4 |
| Willem Drew | Port Adelaide Power | U18.5 | 17.7 | 18.0 | UNDER -0.8 |
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prop | Jordan De Goey Under 23.5 | 23.5 | N/A | 5.7% edge | None | Model has Jordan De Goey at 17.8 vs line 23.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Collingwood vs Port Adelaide
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Other Round 15 Tips
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