ROUND 12 · SAT 6 JUN

West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power

76.1 - 92.9
Model Score

Optus Stadium

Port Adelaide Power -7.5 (10.5% edge)
Best Prop: Jase Burgoyne Under 21.5 Disposals

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Tips and Prediction

West Coast vs Port Adelaide, Round 13 2026

The Verdict

West Coast Eagles 1-3 in last 4. At Optus Stadium, the model sees Port Adelaide winning. Model has Port Adelaide by 16.8. Port Adelaide Power -7.5 is our top play.

Why This Matters

Market has West Coast by 7.5. Model has Port Adelaide by 16.8. That 9.3-point gap gives Port Adelaide a 10.5% spread edge.

Team News

Form and Injury Context

Latest information heading into Round 13

West Coast Eagles

Club debut expected for experienced recruit. Brandon Starcevich, Cooper Duff-Tytler in.

Port Adelaide Power

Experienced names nearing return from injury. Jack Lukosius, Lachie Jones, Jackson Mead in.

Statistical Comparison

Key Stats Dashboard

Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season

West Coast
Port Adelaide
64.6 Intercepts 67.6
Port Adelaide adv
35.6 Clearances 38
Port Adelaide adv
62 Turnovers 68.6
West Coast adv
363.2 Disposals 360.2
West Coast adv
57.6 Tackles 59.4
Port Adelaide adv
The Key Number

West Coast hold a Tackles advantage: 57.6 vs 59.4 per game.

Form Guide

Last 5 Results

West Coast
WLWLL
Avg Scored82.0
Avg Conceded83.2
O/U Record5-7-0
ATS Record8-4
Home Record3-3
Port Adelaide
LLLLW
Avg Scored74.6
Avg Conceded81.0
O/U Record1-10-0
ATS Record6-5
Away Record1-4
Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

Last 4 matches

SeasonRndHomeScoreAwayWinnerATSO/U
2026 R3 Port Adelaide Power 90 - 92 West Coast Eagles West Coast L U
2025 R18 Port Adelaide Power 87 - 61 West Coast Eagles Port Adelaide L U
2024 R1 Port Adelaide Power 120 - 70 West Coast Eagles Port Adelaide W O
2023 R6 Port Adelaide Power 109 - 69 West Coast Eagles Port Adelaide L U

West Coast Eagles 1-3 in last 4. The most recent clash saw West Coast win 90 - 92 at Port Adelaide in R3 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.

Matchup Analysis

Form Analysis

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis

Last five: W L W L L. West Coast are in mixed recent form. Averaging 82.0 scored and 83.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 363.2. Their home record 3-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis

Last five: L L L L W. Port Adelaide are in the middle of a 4-game losing run. Averaging 74.6 scored and 81.0 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 47. Their away record 1-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Player Markets

Player Props & Watch List

Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads

PlayerTeamLineModel5g AvgLean
Jase Burgoyne Port Adelaide Power U21.5 15.8 22.4 UNDER -5.7
Zak Butters Port Adelaide Power U30.5 25.1 30.6 UNDER -5.4
Liam Duggan West Coast Eagles O19.5 23.1 19.6 OVER +3.6
Ryan Maric West Coast Eagles O17.5 19.7 18.4 OVER +2.2
Liam Baker West Coast Eagles O18.5 20.4 18.6 OVER +1.9
Willem Drew Port Adelaide Power U19.5 17.7 19.4 UNDER -1.8

Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.

H2H Standout Performers

Harley Reid (West Coast)
Harley Reid (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.8 disp / 0.83 gls avg.
Tim Kelly (West Coast)
Tim Kelly (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.5 disp / 0.09 gls avg.
Tom McCarthy (West Coast)
Tom McCarthy (West Coast), Defender. 22.3 disp / 0.08 gls avg.
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide)
Zak Butters (Port Adelaide), Midfielder. 30.7 disp / 0.27 gls avg. 30 disposals vs West Coast Eagles R3 2026.
Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide)
Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide), Midfielder. 22.6 disp / 1.27 gls avg.
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide)
Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide), Midfielder. 22.5 disp / 0.0 gls avg.
Model Bets

Ranked Bet Recommendations

MarketBetLinePriceEdgeConfidenceNotes
Spread Port Adelaide Power -7.5 -7.5 $1.90 10.5% edge Strong Model has Port Adelaide Power winning by 16.8. Market line: 7.5. Edge: 10.5%.
Prop Jase Burgoyne Under 21.5 21.5 N/A 5.7% edge None Model has Jase Burgoyne at 15.8 vs line 21.5. (price not available from market)
Our Verdict

Prediction & Best Bet

Predicted Score
76.1 - 92.9
West Coast - Port Adelaide
Best Prop
Jase Burgoyne Under 21.5 Disposals
Top Edge
Spread: 10.5%
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