Round 20 - Up Next
ROUND 14 · FRI 24 JUL

Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles

117.5 - 53.5
Model Score

Optus Stadium

Fremantle Dockers -43.5 (22.0% edge)
Best Prop: Caleb Serong Under 27.5 Disposals

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Tips and Prediction

Fremantle vs West Coast, Round 15 2026

The Verdict

Fremantle Dockers 4-1 in last 5. At Optus Stadium, the model sees Fremantle winning. Model has Fremantle by 64.0. Fremantle Dockers -43.5 is our top play.

Why This Matters

Market has Fremantle by 43.5. Model has Fremantle by 64.0. That 20.5-point gap gives Fremantle a 22.0% spread edge.

Team News

Form and Injury Context

Latest information heading into Round 15

Fremantle Dockers

Shai Bolton returning for Western Derby after being managed. Shai Bolton in. Jaeger O'Meara out.

West Coast Eagles

Liam Baker, Jack Hutchinson out. Injury concerns: Duff-Tytler test, Barnett test. Josh Lindsay, Elijah Hewett expected to play. Check AFL.com.au for the latest update.

Statistical Comparison

Key Stats Dashboard

Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season

Fremantle
West Coast
60.4 Tackles 60.4
West Coast adv
31.6 Shots at Goal 21.4
Fremantle adv
374.2 Disposals 317.2
Fremantle adv
32.4 Clearances 36.2
West Coast adv
62 Turnovers 60
West Coast adv
The Key Number

Fremantle hold a Disposals advantage: 374.2 vs 317.2 per game.

Form Guide

Last 5 Results

Fremantle
WWLWW
Avg Scored96.2
Avg Conceded75.2
O/U Record9-9-0
ATS Record11-7
Home Record8-0
West Coast
LLLLL
Avg Scored70.0
Avg Conceded93.8
O/U Record7-11-0
ATS Record13-5
Away Record1-8
Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

Last 5 matches

SeasonRndHomeScoreAwayWinnerATSO/U
2026 R6 West Coast Eagles 41 - 97 Fremantle Dockers Fremantle L U
2025 R20 Fremantle Dockers 126 - 77 West Coast Eagles Fremantle L O
2025 R3 West Coast Eagles 68 - 106 Fremantle Dockers Fremantle L O
2024 R20 Fremantle Dockers 110 - 75 West Coast Eagles Fremantle L O
2024 R6 West Coast Eagles 105 - 68 Fremantle Dockers West Coast W O

Fremantle Dockers 4-1 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Fremantle win 41 - 97 at West Coast in R6 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.

Matchup Analysis

Form Analysis

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis

Last five: W W L W W. Fremantle are on back-to-back wins. Averaging 96.2 scored and 75.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 374.2. Their home record 8-0 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis

Last five: L L L L L. West Coast are in the middle of a 6-game losing run. Averaging 70.0 scored and 93.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 48. Their away record 1-8 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Player Markets

Player Props & Watch List

Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads

PlayerTeamLineModel5g AvgLean
Caleb Serong Fremantle Dockers U27.5 22.5 25.8 UNDER -5.0
Jordan Clark Fremantle Dockers O20.5 22.8 21.8 OVER +2.3
Andrew Brayshaw Fremantle Dockers U25.5 23.4 28.2 UNDER -2.1
Tim Kelly West Coast Eagles U22.5 20.8 22.2 UNDER -1.7
Tom McCarthy West Coast Eagles O21.5 22.7 22.8 OVER +1.2
Harley Reid West Coast Eagles O22.5 23.7 23.4 OVER +1.2

Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.

H2H Standout Performers

Caleb Serong (Fremantle)
Caleb Serong (Fremantle), Midfielder. 25.2 disp / 0.4 gls avg.
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle)
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle), Midfielder. 25.1 disp / 0.28 gls avg.
Shai Bolton (Fremantle)
Shai Bolton (Fremantle), Midfielder. 23.8 disp / 0.94 gls avg.
Harley Reid (West Coast)
Harley Reid (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.7 disp / 0.72 gls avg.
Tim Kelly (West Coast)
Tim Kelly (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.1 disp / 0.06 gls avg.
Tom McCarthy (West Coast)
Tom McCarthy (West Coast), Defender. 22.5 disp / 0.06 gls avg. 28 disposals vs Fremantle Dockers R6 2026.
Model Bets

Ranked Bet Recommendations

MarketBetLinePriceEdgeConfidenceNotes
Spread Fremantle Dockers -43.5 -43.5 $1.90 22.0% edge Strong Model has Fremantle Dockers winning by 64.0. Market line: 43.5. Edge: 22.0%.
Prop Caleb Serong Under 27.5 27.5 N/A 5.0% edge None Model has Caleb Serong at 22.5 vs line 27.5. (price not available from market)
Our Verdict

Prediction & Best Bet

Predicted Score
117.5 - 53.5
Fremantle - West Coast
Best Prop
Caleb Serong Under 27.5 Disposals
Top Edge
Spread: 22.0%
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