Round 16 - Up Next

AFL Results - Round 21 2026

Full scores, margins and headline storylines from every AFL Round 21 fixture. Updated Tue 4 August 2026.

Round 21 in one line

Carlton dropped a bomb - 154 points and 16 individual goalkickers on the reigning premier. Freo locked top-two with a 37-point Bulldogs shellacking. Adelaide 145-73 over Essendon. Two rounds left before finals.

Full Round 21 Scoreboard

Match Score Margin Venue Notes
Collingwood v Geelong72 - 97Cats by 25MCGPies choked in Q3
Fremantle v Western Bulldogs78 - 41Freo by 37Optus StadiumTop-two locked, double chance
St Kilda v Sydney88 - 107Swans by 19Marvel StadiumSwans stay second
Hawthorn v North Melbourne99 - 83Hawks by 16UTAS StadiumTop four locked for Hawks
Port Adelaide v GWS63 - 75Giants by 12Adelaide OvalPort second straight loss
Carlton v Brisbane154 - 78Blues by 76Marvel StadiumAFL record equalled - 16 individual goalkickers
Richmond v West Coast84 - 73Tigers by 11MCGTigers' 3rd win of the year
Gold Coast v Melbourne105 - 114Dees by 9People First StadiumSuns' 10th straight loss
Essendon v Adelaide73 - 145Crows by 72Marvel StadiumAde storms to 13-7

Four clubs had the bye this round: Hawthorn, Carlton, Fremantle and Collingwood. All four return Round 15 (18-21 June 2026).

Model's R21 Top Picks - How They Settled

Second week in a row at 4 from 5 - the biggest run of the tracked history:

  • Gold Coast/Melbourne Over 180.5 (25.3% edge) - CASHED. Final 219 (105+114), over by 38.5.
  • Carlton/Brisbane Over 181.5 (24.3% edge) - CASHED. Final 232 (154+78), over by 50.5. AFL record equalled with 16 individual goalkickers.
  • Collingwood/Geelong Over 172.5 (19.7% edge) - LOSS. Final 169 (72+97), missed by 3.5. Pies choked in Q3.
  • St Kilda/Sydney Over 183.0 (18.1% edge) - CASHED. Final 195 (88+107), over by 12.
  • Hawthorn/North Over 175.5 (15.4% edge) - CASHED. Final 182 (99+83), over by 6.5.

Track record now 50 bets, 25-25 (evens), ROI -4.5%. The Round 22 board is live with Brisbane/Hawthorn Over 187.0 at 31.8% edge as the top play.

Updated Ladder After Round 21

Fremantle (18-2, 147.3%) clear on top with 72 points, top-two locked. Sydney (15-5) at 60. Hawthorn (14-5-1, four-game streak) at 58 with double chance in sight. Three-way tie at 13-7 for 4-6: Adelaide (117.6%), Brisbane (112.0%), Melbourne (107.8%). Geelong and Bulldogs both 12-8 fighting for 7-8. Full ladder →

Other Rounds

See historical results: Round 13 results, Round 12 results, Round 11 results. The fixtures page has the full season schedule.