St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns
Marvel Stadium
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St Kilda vs Gold Coast, Round 24 2026
St Kilda Saints 2-3 in last 5. At Marvel Stadium, the model sees St Kilda winning. Model: St Kilda 98.9 - Gold Coast 84.3. Model favours St Kilda by 14.6.
The market has the total at 179.5. Our model puts it at 183.2, a 3.8-point gap. That is a 5.2% edge on the Over 179.5.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 24
St Kilda Saints
Injury concerns: Flanders Achilles season, King hamstring season, Sinclair calf season, Wanganeen-Milera hamstring season, Wood calf season. Liam Ryan, Hunter Clark, Liam Henry, Kye Fincher, Jack Carroll expected to play.
Gold Coast Suns
Christian Petracca, Wil Powell out. Injury concerns: Collins ribs test, Petracca foot season, Powell shoulder season, Weller hamstring season. Nick Holman, Jai Murray, Zeke Uwland expected to play. Check AFL.com.au.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
St Kilda
St Kilda hold a Disposals advantage: 397 vs 345.8 per game.
Last 5 Results
St Kilda
Gold Coast
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R9 | Gold Coast Suns | 89 - 60 | St Kilda Saints | Gold Coast | W | U |
| 2025 | R11 | St Kilda Saints | 61 - 80 | Gold Coast Suns | Gold Coast | L | U |
| 2024 | R13 | St Kilda Saints | 51 - 48 | Gold Coast Suns | St Kilda | L | U |
| 2023 | R18 | Gold Coast Suns | 77 - 51 | St Kilda Saints | Gold Coast | W | U |
| 2023 | R4 | St Kilda Saints | 113 - 60 | Gold Coast Suns | St Kilda | W | O |
St Kilda Saints 2-3 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Gold Coast win 89 - 60 at Gold Coast in R9 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis
Last five: W L L W L. St Kilda are in mixed recent form. Averaging 82.4 scored and 84.4 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 397. Their home record 4-6 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis
Last five: L W L L L. Gold Coast are in mixed recent form. Averaging 80.4 scored and 94.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 52.6. Their away record 2-9 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
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Prediction & Best Bet
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Other Round 24 Tips
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