Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers
Marvel Stadium
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Carlton vs Fremantle, Round 24 2026
Carlton Blues 2-2 in last 4. At Marvel Stadium, the model sees Fremantle winning. Model has Fremantle by 17.5. Fremantle Dockers -10.5 is our top play.
Market has Carlton by 10.5. Model has Fremantle by 17.5. That 7.0-point gap gives Fremantle a 7.9% spread edge.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 24
Carlton Blues
Will Hayward out. Injury concerns: Haynes ankle test, Hayward ankle 1 week, Williams larynx 1-2 weeks, Newman hamstring 4-5 weeks. Ollie Hollands, Lachie Fogarty, Flynn Young expected to play. Check.
Fremantle Dockers
Darcy is expected to be available while O'Meara, Wagner and Walker are all pushing to return ahead of finals. Sean Darcy, Jaeger O'Meara, Corey Wagner, Brandon Walker, Judd McVee in.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Carlton
Carlton hold a Disposals advantage: 418 vs 358.6 per game.
Last 5 Results
Carlton
Fremantle
Recent Meetings
Last 4 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R7 | Fremantle Dockers | 103 - 89 | Carlton Blues | Fremantle | L | O |
| 2025 | R21 | Fremantle Dockers | 94 - 67 | Carlton Blues | Fremantle | L | O |
| 2024 | R4 | Fremantle Dockers | 63 - 73 | Carlton Blues | Carlton | L | U |
| 2023 | R17 | Fremantle Dockers | 45 - 98 | Carlton Blues | Carlton | L | U |
Carlton Blues 2-2 in last 4. The most recent clash saw Fremantle win 103 - 89 at Fremantle in R7 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Carlton Blues Form Analysis
Last five: D W W W L. Carlton are in mixed recent form. Averaging 104.2 scored and 81.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 418. Their home record 6-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis
Last five: W L W W W. Fremantle are in mixed recent form. Averaging 102.8 scored and 71.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 54.4. Their away record 8-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fremantle Dockers -10.5 | -10.5 | $1.90 | 7.9% edge | Moderate | Model has Fremantle Dockers winning by 17.5. Market line: 10.5. Edge: 7.9%. |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Carlton vs Fremantle
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Other Round 24 Tips
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