Round 24 - Up Next
ROUND 14 · SUN 23 AUG

West Coast Eagles vs Hawthorn Hawks

75.3 - 109.6
Model Score

Optus Stadium

West Coast Eagles +46.5 (13.7% edge)

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Tips and Prediction

West Coast vs Hawthorn, Round 24 2026

The Verdict

West Coast Eagles 0-3 in last 3. At Optus Stadium, the model sees Hawthorn winning. Model has Hawthorn by 34.2. West Coast Eagles +46.5 is our top play.

Why This Matters

Market has West Coast by 46.5. Model has Hawthorn by 34.2. That 12.3-point gap gives West Coast a 13.7% spread edge.

Team News

Form and Injury Context

Latest information heading into Round 24

West Coast Eagles

Allan could return after being managed while Macrae, Schoenberg and Grego are pushing for selection and Hewett remains a fitness test. Bo Allan, Finlay Macrae, Harry Schoenberg, Lucca Grego, Elijah.

Hawthorn Hawks

The Hawks are virtually at full strength with several VFL performers available if changes are required for the final round. Bodie Ryan, Finn Maginness, Ned Reeves confirmed in. Concerns: Anderson.

Statistical Comparison

Key Stats Dashboard

Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season

West Coast
Hawthorn
344.2 Disposals 394.4
Hawthorn adv
36.8 Clearances 34.4
West Coast adv
62.2 Tackles 53.8
West Coast adv
21.4 Shots at Goal 31
Hawthorn adv
48.2 Inside 50s 57.2
Hawthorn adv
The Key Number

Hawthorn hold a Disposals advantage: 394.4 vs 344.2 per game.

Form Guide

Last 5 Results

West Coast
LLLLL
Avg Scored67.8
Avg Conceded103.4
O/U Record8-13-0
ATS Record13-8
Home Record3-7
Hawthorn
DLWWW
Avg Scored100.6
Avg Conceded78.2
O/U Record10-11-0
ATS Record8-13
Away Record5-5
Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

Last 3 matches

SeasonRndHomeScoreAwayWinnerATSO/U
2025 R7 Hawthorn Hawks 124 - 74 West Coast Eagles Hawthorn L O
2024 R16 West Coast Eagles 33 - 94 Hawthorn Hawks Hawthorn L U
2023 R10 Hawthorn Hawks 142 - 26 West Coast Eagles Hawthorn W U

West Coast Eagles 0-3 in last 3. The most recent clash saw Hawthorn win 124 - 74 at Hawthorn in R7 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.

Matchup Analysis

Form Analysis

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis

Last five: L L L L L. West Coast are in the middle of a 10-game losing run. Averaging 67.8 scored and 103.4 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 344.2. Their home record 3-7 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis

Last five: D L W W W. Hawthorn are in mixed recent form. Averaging 100.6 scored and 78.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 57.2. Their away record 5-5 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Player Markets

Player Props & Watch List

Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads

PlayerTeamLineModel5g AvgLean

Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.

H2H Standout Performers

Harley Reid (West Coast)
Harley Reid (West Coast), Midfielder. 24.8 disp / 0.64 gls avg.
Tim Kelly (West Coast)
Tim Kelly (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.8 disp / 0.1 gls avg.
Tom McCarthy (West Coast)
Tom McCarthy (West Coast), Interchange. 22.7 disp / 0.05 gls avg.
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn)
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn), Midfielder. 26.3 disp / 0.32 gls avg.
Jarman Impey (Hawthorn)
Jarman Impey (Hawthorn), Defender. 23.9 disp / 0.25 gls avg.
Josh Ward (Hawthorn)
Josh Ward (Hawthorn), Midfielder. 22.9 disp / 0.27 gls avg.
Model Bets

Ranked Bet Recommendations

MarketBetLinePriceEdgeConfidenceNotes
Spread West Coast Eagles +46.5 46.5 $1.90 13.7% edge Strong Model has Hawthorn Hawks winning by 34.2. Market line: 46.5. Edge: 13.7%.
Our Verdict

Prediction & Best Bet

Predicted Score
75.3 - 109.6
West Coast - Hawthorn
Best Prop
See player props table
Top Edge
Spread: 13.7%
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