Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
SCG
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Sydney vs North Melbourne, Round 24 2026
Sydney carry a 4-game winning streak into the SCG. Model total 206.8 vs market 189.5. Sydney Swans +6.0 is our top play.
Market has Sydney by 6.0. Model has Sydney by 45.2. That 51.2-point gap gives Sydney a 42.8% spread edge.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 24
Sydney Swans
Rowbottom is aiming to pass a fitness test but McInerney has suffered a hamstring setback and McLean has entered concussion protocols. James Rowbottom in. Justin McInerney, Hayden McLean out.
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Harry Sheezel out. Injury concerns: Sheezel cheekbone season. Luke McDonald, Bailey Scott, Cooper Harvey, Ollie Griffin expected to play. Check AFL.com.au for the latest update.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Sydney
Sydney hold a Turnovers advantage: 67.4 vs 59.6 per game.
Last 5 Results
Sydney
North Melbourne
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R9 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 97 - 105 | Sydney Swans | Sydney | W | O |
| 2025 | R19 | Sydney Swans | 84 - 53 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | Sydney | L | U |
| 2025 | R4 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 52 - 117 | Sydney Swans | Sydney | L | U |
| 2024 | R18 | Sydney Swans | 138 - 59 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | Sydney | W | O |
| 2023 | R10 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 90 - 93 | Sydney Swans | Sydney | W | O |
Sydney Swans 5-0 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Sydney win 97 - 105 at North Melbourne in R9 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Sydney Swans Form Analysis
Last five: W W W W L. Sydney are riding a 4-game winning streak. Averaging 119.2 scored and 81.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 378.8. Their home record 10-1 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Last five: L W L L L. North Melbourne are in mixed recent form. Averaging 86.2 scored and 97.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 46.8. Their away record 3-7 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sydney Swans +6.0 | 6.0 | $1.90 | 42.8% edge | Strong | Model has Sydney Swans winning by 45.2. Market line: 6.0. Edge: 42.8%. |
| Total | Over 189.5 | 189.5 | $1.88 | 22.3% edge | Strong | Model total 206.7 vs market 189.5. Gap: 17.2 points. |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Sydney vs North Melbourne
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Other Round 24 Tips
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