Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs
Optus Stadium
We may earn commission on sign-ups via this link. Affiliate disclosure
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs, Round 21 2026
Fremantle carry a 3-game winning streak into Optus Stadium. Model total 168.9 vs market 164.5. Over 164.5 is our top play.
The market has the total at 164.5. Our model puts it at 168.9, a 4.4-point gap. That is a 6.2% edge on the Over 164.5. Both squads' defensive stats back the lower total.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 15
Fremantle Dockers
Hayden Young returns with only minor injury concerns remaining. Hayden Young in.
Western Bulldogs
Injury concerns: Budarick 3-5 weeks, Dale 3-5 weeks, Treloar 4-6 weeks. Check AFL.com.au for the latest update.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Fremantle
Western Bulldogs hold a Disposals advantage: 352.2 vs 371.8 per game.
Last 5 Results
Fremantle
Western Bulldogs
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R8 | Western Bulldogs | 102 - 114 | Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle | W | O |
| 2025 | R24 | Western Bulldogs | 97 - 112 | Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle | L | O |
| 2025 | R4 | Fremantle Dockers | 97 - 81 | Western Bulldogs | Fremantle | W | O |
| 2024 | R14 | Western Bulldogs | 149 - 82 | Fremantle Dockers | Western Bulldogs | W | O |
| 2024 | R7 | Fremantle Dockers | 95 - 71 | Western Bulldogs | Fremantle | W | O |
Fremantle Dockers 4-1 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Fremantle win 102 - 114 at Western Bulldogs in R8 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis
Last five: W W W L W. Fremantle are riding a 3-game winning streak. Averaging 98.8 scored and 65.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 371.8. Their home record 9-0 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis
Last five: W W W L W. Western Bulldogs are riding a 3-game winning streak. Averaging 81.2 scored and 67.4 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 47. Their away record 6-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | Fremantle Dockers | U27.5 | 22.5 | 26.4 | UNDER -5.0 |
| Bailey Williams | Western Bulldogs | U22.5 | 17.7 | 18.4 | UNDER -4.8 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | Western Bulldogs | O27.5 | 30.1 | 26.0 | OVER +2.6 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | Fremantle Dockers | U25.5 | 23.4 | 26.2 | UNDER -2.1 |
| Thomas Liberatore | Western Bulldogs | U22.5 | 20.5 | 20.6 | UNDER -2.0 |
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Over 164.5 | 164.5 | $1.89 | 6.2% edge | Moderate | Model total 168.9 vs market 164.5. Gap: 4.4 points. |
| Prop | Caleb Serong Under 27.5 | 27.5 | N/A | 5.0% edge | None | Model has Caleb Serong at 22.5 vs line 27.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
Compare the top AFL betting sites. New member free bet offers available - T&Cs apply.
New members only. Free bet offers subject to T&Cs. You must be 18+ to open a betting account. Pay by debit card where available. In-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia - all bets must be placed pre-game or via telephone.
Other Round 15 Tips
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
AFL Betting Guides
Responsible Gambling
Gambling should be for entertainment only. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Set a budget and stick to it. If gambling is causing you problems, contact the National Gambling Helpline: 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. You must be 18 or over to place bets in Australia. In-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia.