Round 16 - Up Next
ROUND 14 · SUN 9 AUG

West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies

73.0 - 98.8
Model Score

Optus Stadium

Collingwood Magpies -17.5 (9.4% edge)
Best Prop: Darcy Cameron Under 20.5 Disposals

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Tips and Prediction

West Coast vs Collingwood, Round 22 2026

The Verdict

West Coast Eagles 0-4 in last 4. At Optus Stadium, the model sees Collingwood winning. Model has Collingwood by 25.8. Collingwood Magpies -17.5 is our top play.

Why This Matters

Market has West Coast by 17.5. Model has Collingwood by 25.8. That 8.3-point gap gives Collingwood a 9.4% spread edge.

Team News

Form and Injury Context

Latest information heading into Round 22

West Coast Eagles

Team news not yet available.

Collingwood Magpies

Team news not yet available.

Statistical Comparison

Key Stats Dashboard

Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season

West Coast
Collingwood
65.4 Tackles 73.4
Collingwood adv
63.2 Turnovers 59.4
Collingwood adv
337 Disposals 370.2
Collingwood adv
45.6 Inside 50s 51.6
Collingwood adv
36 Clearances 38.4
Collingwood adv
The Key Number

Collingwood hold a Disposals advantage: 370.2 vs 337 per game.

Form Guide

Last 5 Results

West Coast
LLLLL
Avg Scored65.6
Avg Conceded94.8
O/U Record7-12-0
ATS Record13-6
Home Record3-6
Collingwood
LWWWW
Avg Scored92.6
Avg Conceded84.6
O/U Record8-11-0
ATS Record10-9
Away Record5-4
Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

Last 4 matches

SeasonRndHomeScoreAwayWinnerATSO/U
2026 R11 Collingwood Magpies 92 - 82 West Coast Eagles Collingwood L U
2025 R16 Collingwood Magpies 88 - 59 West Coast Eagles Collingwood L U
2024 R9 Collingwood Magpies 103 - 37 West Coast Eagles Collingwood W U
2023 R12 West Coast Eagles 57 - 120 Collingwood Magpies Collingwood L O

West Coast Eagles 0-4 in last 4. The most recent clash saw Collingwood win 92 - 82 at Collingwood in R11 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.

Matchup Analysis

Form Analysis

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis

Last five: L L L L L. West Coast are in the middle of a 8-game losing run. Averaging 65.6 scored and 94.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 337. Their home record 3-6 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis

Last five: L W W W W. Collingwood are in mixed recent form. Averaging 92.6 scored and 84.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 51.6. Their away record 5-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.

Player Markets

Player Props & Watch List

Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads

PlayerTeamLineModel5g AvgLean
Darcy Cameron Collingwood Magpies U20.5 15.1 20.2 UNDER -5.4
Tim Kelly West Coast Eagles U25.5 21.4 22.8 UNDER -4.1
Jordan De Goey Collingwood Magpies U20.5 17.3 21.8 UNDER -3.2
Josh Daicos Collingwood Magpies U23.5 20.5 25.8 UNDER -3.0
Tom McCarthy West Coast Eagles U24.5 23.4 22.4 UNDER -1.1
Harley Reid West Coast Eagles O23.5 24.4 27.4 OVER +0.9

Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.

H2H Standout Performers

Harley Reid (West Coast)
Harley Reid (West Coast), Midfielder. 24.6 disp / 0.65 gls avg.
Tim Kelly (West Coast)
Tim Kelly (West Coast), Midfielder. 23.6 disp / 0.06 gls avg.
Marcus Herbert (West Coast)
Marcus Herbert (West Coast), Defender. 23.0 disp / 0.0 gls avg.
Nick Daicos (Collingwood)
Nick Daicos (Collingwood), Midfielder. 33.3 disp / 1.05 gls avg. 34 disp, 3 goals vs West Coast Eagles R11 2026.
Josh Daicos (Collingwood)
Josh Daicos (Collingwood), Defender. 26.6 disp / 0.05 gls avg.
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood)
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood), Midfielder. 23.6 disp / 0.33 gls avg.
Model Bets

Ranked Bet Recommendations

MarketBetLinePriceEdgeConfidenceNotes
Spread Collingwood Magpies -17.5 -17.5 $1.90 9.4% edge Strong Model has Collingwood Magpies winning by 25.8. Market line: 17.5. Edge: 9.4%.
Prop Darcy Cameron Under 20.5 20.5 N/A 5.4% edge None Model has Darcy Cameron at 15.1 vs line 20.5. (price not available from market)
Our Verdict

Prediction & Best Bet

Predicted Score
73.0 - 98.8
West Coast - Collingwood
Best Prop
Darcy Cameron Under 20.5 Disposals
Top Edge
Spread: 9.4%
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