Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Gold Coast Suns
Manuka Oval
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GWS vs Gold Coast, Round 22 2026
Greater Western Sydney Giants 4-1 in last 5. At the Manuka Oval, the model sees GWS winning. Model total 194.0 vs market 169.5. Over 169.5 is our top play.
The market has the total at 169.5. Our model puts it at 194.0, a 24.5-point gap. That is a 30.1% edge on the Over 169.5. Both squads' defensive stats back the lower total.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 22
Greater Western Sydney Giants
Team news not yet available.
Gold Coast Suns
Team news not yet available.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
GWS
GWS hold a Tackles advantage: 64 vs 50.2 per game.
Last 5 Results
GWS
Gold Coast
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R8 | Gold Coast Suns | 83 - 63 | Greater Western Sydney Giants | Gold Coast | W | U |
| 2025 | R23 | Gold Coast Suns | 76 - 111 | Greater Western Sydney Giants | GWS | L | O |
| 2025 | R15 | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 106 - 99 | Gold Coast Suns | GWS | W | O |
| 2024 | R19 | Greater Western Sydney Giants | 89 - 50 | Gold Coast Suns | GWS | W | U |
| 2024 | R4 | Gold Coast Suns | 89 - 117 | Greater Western Sydney Giants | GWS | L | O |
Greater Western Sydney Giants 4-1 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Gold Coast win 83 - 63 at Gold Coast in R8 2026. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Greater Western Sydney Giants Form Analysis
Last five: W L L W W. GWS are in mixed recent form. Averaging 84.4 scored and 86.0 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 376.4. Their home record 7-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis
Last five: L L L L L. Gold Coast are in the middle of a 10-game losing run. Averaging 83.4 scored and 106.6 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 50.8. Their away record 1-8 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Idun | Greater Western Sydney Giants | U20.5 | 16.1 | 23.4 | UNDER -4.4 |
| Touk Miller | Gold Coast Suns | U22.5 | 20.3 | 25.4 | UNDER -2.2 |
| Lachlan Ash | Greater Western Sydney Giants | U27.5 | 25.7 | 26.4 | UNDER -1.8 |
| Lachie Whitfield | Greater Western Sydney Giants | U28.5 | 27.9 | 26.2 | UNDER -0.6 |
| Matt Rowell | Gold Coast Suns | O27.5 | 27.9 | 27.4 | OVER +0.4 |
| Noah Anderson | Gold Coast Suns | O27.5 | 27.8 | 23.8 | OVER +0.3 |
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Over 169.5 | 169.5 | $1.88 | 30.1% edge | Strong | Model total 194.0 vs market 169.5. Gap: 24.5 points. |
| Prop | Connor Idun Under 20.5 | 20.5 | N/A | 4.4% edge | None | Model has Connor Idun at 16.1 vs line 20.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on GWS vs Gold Coast
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Other Round 22 Tips
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