Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium
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Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne, Round 22 2026
Western Bulldogs 5-0 in last 5. At Marvel Stadium, the model sees Western Bulldogs winning. Model has Western Bulldogs by 26.2. Western Bulldogs -19.0 is our top play.
Market has Western Bulldogs by 19.0. Model has Western Bulldogs by 26.2. That 7.2-point gap gives Western Bulldogs a 8.1% spread edge.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 22
Western Bulldogs
Team news not yet available.
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Team news not yet available.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne hold a Disposals advantage: 378.2 vs 343.6 per game.
Last 5 Results
Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne
Recent Meetings
Last 5 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R17 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 85 - 134 | Western Bulldogs | Western Bulldogs | W | O |
| 2025 | R1 | Western Bulldogs | 113 - 97 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | Western Bulldogs | L | O |
| 2024 | R23 | Western Bulldogs | 138 - 42 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | Western Bulldogs | W | O |
| 2024 | R16 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 60 - 77 | Western Bulldogs | Western Bulldogs | W | U |
| 2023 | R14 | North Melbourne Kangaroos | 84 - 105 | Western Bulldogs | Western Bulldogs | W | O |
Western Bulldogs 5-0 in last 5. The most recent clash saw Western Bulldogs win 85 - 134 at North Melbourne in R17 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis
Last five: L W W W L. Western Bulldogs are in mixed recent form. Averaging 72.8 scored and 70.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 343.6. Their home record 6-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Last five: L L L L L. North Melbourne are in the middle of a 5-game losing run. Averaging 71.6 scored and 89.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 47.6. Their away record 2-7 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | Western Bulldogs | O26.5 | 31.0 | 23.2 | OVER +4.5 |
| Thomas Liberatore | Western Bulldogs | U24.5 | 21.1 | 23.6 | UNDER -3.4 |
| Caleb Daniel | North Melbourne Kangaroos | U25.5 | 23.3 | 22.2 | UNDER -2.2 |
| Luke Parker | North Melbourne Kangaroos | U25.5 | 23.4 | 25.2 | UNDER -2.1 |
| Ed Richards | Western Bulldogs | U25.5 | 24.4 | 26.2 | UNDER -1.1 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | North Melbourne Kangaroos | U25.5 | 25.3 | 25.0 | UNDER -0.2 |
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Bulldogs -19.0 | -19.0 | $1.90 | 8.1% edge | Moderate | Model has Western Bulldogs winning by 26.2. Market line: 19.0. Edge: 8.1%. |
| Prop | Marcus Bontempelli Over 26.5 | 26.5 | N/A | 4.5% edge | None | Model has Marcus Bontempelli at 31.0 vs line 26.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne
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Other Round 22 Tips
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